I haven't been down that way at all this year so keep that in mind. What i have seen over the years with warm spells/rain is it doesn't seem to take as much ice off as one would think it would. Usually the snow stuff on top goes first then the ice turns from black to gray and then starts to loose ice. Huffs and high current areas are a different story. I would venture to guess you will be fine shermans and none current areas in hay bay.
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Dan Elliot - A bad day on Quinte is better than a good day at work !!!
http://www.quintefishing.com